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The stubbornly high inflation readings to start 2024 are good news for one group of stocks — insurance companies. Stocks to watch In general, Wall Street analysts are buying the underlying story for these insurance stocks. For a slightly different angle, Wells Fargo analyst Elyse Greenspan upgraded Hamilton Insurance Group to overweight last week. Potential downsides To be sure, there are several factors that could derail the rally for insurance stocks. Another concern is so-called "social inflation," in which legal trends or regulatory changes can drive costs higher for insurance companies.
Persons: Goldman, Robert Cox, Stocks, Goldman's Cox, Cox, Wells, Elyse Greenspan, Hamilton, HG, Greenspan, Jimmy Bhullar, Andrew McGee, McGee, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Allstate, Wall Street, PGR, Progressive, Hartford Financial Services, Hamilton Insurance Group, U.S . Insurance, JPMorgan, CNBC Locations: Northbrook , Illinois, Wells Fargo
Oil prices were slightly lower Monday as Israel, aided by the U.S., fended off Iran's aerial barrage. The investment bank believes aerospace and defense stocks could outperform in the short run in light of growing geopolitical risks. The biggest ETF in the industry is the iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) , with about $5 billion in assets under management. Invesco Aerospace & Defense ETF (PPA ) and SPDR S & P Aerospace & Defense ETF (XAR) are two other popular offerings. To be sure, Liberum thinks the stock market could quickly reverse any losses as soon as the tensions in the Middle East ease.
Persons: Israel retaliating, Liberum, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Liberum, U.S ., Federal Reserve, West Texas Intermediate, May, U.S . Aerospace & Defense ETF, ITA, Invesco Aerospace & Defense ETF, P Aerospace & Defense ETF Locations: Iran, Israel, Damascus, Syria, U.S
The weekly chart of the iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF (ITB) shows how the long-term trend has become quite strong off the October 2022 low. The higher low in October was a sign of accumulation, showing that the bearish momentum going into the summer had begun to dissipate. Once this ETF broke above its July 2023 high, it traded higher to a price gap in December of last year. In this case, the homebuilder ETF resolved this pattern to the upside in late February with a break above $105. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: Jerome Powell's, ITB, David Keller Organizations: Home, CMT Locations: U.S
The health-care sector of the S & P 500 is up about 8% year to date, marking a sharp comeback from a largely flat 2023. Even as health care is making a comeback this year, investors shouldn't forget its defensive attributes. Back in 2022, when the S & P 500 fell 19.4%, the health-care sector slipped only 3.5% "When markets are challenged, health care can be a good place to be," Lyons added. Some of them speak to the growth aspects of health care and why you can play offense." Merger activity is another driver of growth in health care, as large pharmaceutical companies snap up nimble biotech firms that are at the forefront of developing treatments.
Persons: Dan Lyons, Janus Henderson, shouldn't, Lyons, ImmunoGen, Seamus Fernandez, Sotatercept, Cigna, Cantor Fitzgerald, Sarah James, Fred Imbert Organizations: Big Tech, . Healthcare, Janus, Janus Henderson Investors, U.S . Food, Drug Administration's Center, Drug, Research, FDA, Esai, Pharmaceuticals, CNBC Pro, Merck, Abbott Laboratories, AbbVie, CVS Health Locations: U.S
— Katie Stockton with Will Tamplin Access research from Fairlead Strategies for free here . Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only. Securities, investment products, other financial products or strategies discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. The recipient of this information must make its own independent decisions regarding any securities, investment products or other financial products mentioned herein. This material is not to be reproduced or redistributed absent the written consent of Fairlead Strategies.
Persons: Eli Lilly, Katie Stockton Organizations: U.S . Pharmaceuticals, IHE, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities Locations: U.S
"We ended our buyers' strike and found several promising new investments that we believe will help us in 2024," the hedge fund manager said in an investor letter dated Monday and obtained by CNBC. Einhorn had stopped building new stock positions at one point in the fourth quarter due to worries about intensifying geopolitical risks. Because of his conservative positioning, his hedge fund, particularly the short side, was hurt during 2023's strong year-end rally. Einhorn's hedge fund returned 22.1% in 2023, net of fees and expenses. His stellar track record made him one of the most followed hedge fund managers on Wall Street.
Persons: Capital's David Einhorn, Einhorn, he's, Greenlight, drugmaker, He's, CNBC's Leslie Picker Organizations: CNBC, Cornell grad, Greenlight Capital, Wall, Pfizer, Syensqo, U.S . Aerospace & Defense, Invesco Aerospace & Defense, P Aerospace & Defense Locations: Belgian, U.S
2023 wasn't a good year for the health-care sector, but some investors expect it to make a comeback this year — highlighting biotech and medical tech as areas to watch. But now, Citi believes that "astute investors may find themselves with a trove of rebound opportunities." Citi's top picks in biotech include Biomea Fusion , Alnylam Pharmaceuticals , and Immunovant . Jared Holz, health-care sector strategist at Mizuho Securities Americas, named biotech firm Biogen as one of his top trading ideas for 2024. "Biotech has commanded everyone's attention, but the recovery of many best-in-class medical device companies post the GLP-1 selloff has been remarkable," Orton said.
Persons: There's, Jared Holz, Biogen, Trent, medtech, Matt Orton, Orton Organizations: Citi Global Wealth Investments, U.S . Healthcare, Citi, Biomea, Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Mizuho Securities Americas, Biogen, medtech, Raymond James Investment Management, Medical, Biotech, Abbott Laboratories Locations: U.S, Alphinity, medtech
As of Wednesday's market close, though, the 10-year note fell to 4.408%, while the 100 largest taxable money market funds tracked by Crane Data have an average yield of 5.20%. In addition, nearly $1.2 trillion has flowed into money market funds this year through Nov. 15, compared to $264 billion into bond funds and $43 billion in U.S. equity funds, according to Goldman Sachs. In the meantime, Bartolini said clients willing to take on more risk should look to shorter-duration bond funds. The iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY) that tracks shorter-duration notes has gained 0.22% this year as of Wednesday's close. The iShares U.S. Treasury Bond ETF (GOVT) , which has exposure to Treasurys ranging between 1 and 30 years in duration, was down 1.85% during the same period.
Persons: Dan Egan, CNBC's, Goldman Sachs, Matt Bartolini, Bartolini, Egan, it's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Behavioral Finance, Treasury, Crane Data, SPDR, SPDR Americas Research, Street Global Advisors, Treasury Bond ETF Locations: SPDR Americas, U.S
After being on the market for more than a decade, defined maturity bond funds are finally attracting attention. Traditional open end, bond mutual funds or bond ETFs, on the other hand, have no maturity date. One big advantage over owning individual bonds, however, is that defined maturity ETFs are easy to purchase on the stock exchange. How they work Each defined maturity bond fund holds securities in the same sector that come due in the calendar year chosen for the fund. Callable bonds are simply those that can be redeemed or paid off by the issuer prior to the bonds' maturity date, according to the Securities and Exchange Commission.
Persons: Charles Rotblut, Bonds, Sarajat Samant, Karen Veraa, BlackRock's, , Veraa, IBonds, Invesco, Treasury iBond, Jason Bloom, Invesco's Bloom, haven't, I'm, BlackRock's Veraa, Morningstar's, Samant, AAII's Organizations: Investors, American Association of, Treasury, BlackRock, Securities and Exchange Commission, Invesco Locations: BlackRock's iShares, U.S
He went on to list the names and performances of defense-focused funds including the iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) and the SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF (XAR) . As the latest geopolitical conflict escalates, these investors are ignoring defense stocks despite the market axiom that those holdings tend to perform better in times of war. Indeed, the iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF popped more than 4% in the week following Hamas' Oct. 7 attack and went on to finish October up about 3.7%. Ignoring market wisdomRetail traders poured into defense stocks and funds in the aftermath of the invasion, but inflows have since cooled, according to Vanda Research. But not everyone sees the intensifying conflict as a moment to invest in defense stocks.
Persons: Kenneth Suna, Suna, Vanda, Sow, Andrew Behar, it's, Behar, Hannah Beier, Jason Aiken Organizations: Raytheon, U.S . Aerospace & Defense ETF, P Aerospace & Defense ETF, D.C, CNBC, U.S . Aerospace & Defense, Vanda Research . Defense, Trust, Scranton Army, Plant, Getty, General, Funds Locations: Israel, U.S, Washington, Scranton, Scranton , Pennsylvania, Russia, Ukraine
Such forecasts have prompted a sell-off in a wide range of companies from makers of bariatric surgery devices to companies whose products address the health issues created by excess weight, from diabetes to sleep apnea. "The market is in a shoot-first, ask-questions-later mood when it comes to weight-loss drugs," said Nicholas Anderson, manager of the Thornburg International Growth Fund, which holds shares of Novo Nordisk. By contrast, the iShares U.S. Medical Devices exchange-traded fund has lost more than 22% in the last three months. Injectable weight-loss drugs, known as GLP-1 receptor agonists, are considered highly effective but are also expensive, costing more than $1,300 per month. "Overall, we'll see an increased interest in bariatric surgery, but that will get delayed in the short term."
Persons: Doctor Thomas Horbach, Wegovy, Nicholas Anderson, Eli Lilly, Kenneth Stein, Margaret Kaczor Andrew, William Blair, Michael Farrell, Jeff Jonas, Johnson, Myriam Curet, Ann Hynes, Hynes, David Gaffen, Manas, Michael Erman, Caroline Humer, Sonali Paul Organizations: Novo Nordisk, Healthcare, Growth Fund, Medical Devices, Boston, Gabelli Funds, Johnson, Reuters, Mizuho Securities, Manas Mishra, Thomson Locations: Germany, Munich, Danish, U.S, Boston, GLP, New York, Bengaluru
What the Israel-Hamas war means for defense stocks
  + stars: | 2023-10-18 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +7 min
New York CNN —When war breaks out, defense companies tend to make money. That means aerospace and defense stocks tend to rise during geopolitical unrest. Defense stocks typically rise after military conflicts but soon lose those gains. Following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the iShares defense ETF surged by 5%, with Lockheed Martin and Northrop Grumman’s shares jumping about 20%. Goldman Sachs announced third-quarter results on Tuesday morning, reporting earnings of $5.47 per share, which beat the $5.31 expected by analysts.
Persons: Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, , Jim Taiclet, “ That’s, JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, , ” Sam Stovall, Joe Biden’s, Northrop Grumman’s, Raffi Boyadjian, Goldman Sachs, David Solomon, “ David, Goldman, Tony Fratto, Solomon, DJ, ” Solomon, it’s, Lloyd Blankfein, they’re, Elon Musk’s, Elon Musk, X, Clare Duffy Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, U.S . Aerospace & Defense ETF, Raytheon, Lockheed, Boeing, General Dynamics, Northrop, , Lockheed Martin Corporation, titans, Hamas, JPMorgan, Defense, XM, Treasury, CNN, Revenue, Twitter Locations: New York, Israel, U.S, Ukraine, Kippur, Kuwait, South Beach, New Zealand, Philippines
Wall Street analysts expect defense stocks will continue to move higher as a result of the outbreak of the Israel-Hamas war making it less likely Congress will delay or curb the nation's defense budget. Defense stocks have underperformed as a group this year amid concerns that partisan divisions in Washington point to lower military spending. Notably, Bernstein analyst Douglas Harned doesn't expect the Israel-Hamas conflict will change the path of U.S. defense spending. He cited prior conflicts, such as Russia's invasion of Ukraine last year, that didn't end up boosting the defense budget. LMT 5D mountain Lockheed Martin Regardless, Wall Street broadly anticipates defense stocks could continue rising from current levels.
Persons: Scott Deuschle, Deuschle, Jason Gursky, Bernstein, Douglas Harned doesn't, Harned, Martin, Northrop, Morgan Stanley, Lockheed Martin Organizations: Defense, U.S . Aerospace & Defense ETF, ITA, Wall Street, Defense Department, Pentagon, Deutsche, Citi, Deutsche Bank, Northrop Grumman, Lockheed, Israeli Defense Forces, L3Harris, Army Locations: Israel, Washington, U.S, Gaza, Ukraine, Congress, China, Russia, North Korea
Security is becoming increasingly crucial around the world, and Bank of America thinks investor portfolios can benefit from owning certain names. The bank on Monday released its "Future Security" primer, examining stocks through a lens of safety. Information security company CyberArk Software also made the list. CYBR YTD mountain CyberArk YTD "CyberArk is the clear leader within the PAM [privileged access market] market, with a robust technological moat," Liani said. TRU YTD mountain TransUnion YTD.
Persons: Felix Tran, Benjamin Netanyahu, CrowdStrike, Tal Liani, Matt Cohen, CyberArk, Liani, BofA, Heather Balsky, Tomer Zilberman, Andrew Obin, Obin, Michael Bloom Organizations: Bank of America, Israeli, Defense, U.S . Aerospace & Defense ETF, CyberArk Software, Motorola Solutions, Motorola, North, APG Locations: Israel, U.S
"I am not going to get into specifics on this call, but the bottom line is we are working as fast as possible to provide critically needed munitions of various types and other equipment," a senior Defense official said. The Pentagon declined to share specific details of the types of security assistance the U.S. was providing to Israel. Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin on Sunday ordered the movement of U.S. firepower closer to the region in order to project force and bolster Israeli security assistance. Saturday's unprecedented land, air and sea attack on Israel has since triggered a fury of Israeli retaliatory airstrikes. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu called Hamas' attack on Israel "a terrible mistake" and in a televised speech warned the retaliatory strikes were "just the beginning."
Persons: WASHINGTON, Israel, Defense Lloyd Austin, Gerald Ford, Arleigh Burke, Thomas Hudner, Ramage, USS Carney, Roosevelt, Austin, Benjamin Netanyahu, Netanyahu, Joe Biden, Biden Organizations: Pentagon, U.S, Defense, U.S . Aerospace & Defense, Northrop Grumman, Sunday, Gerald Ford Carrier Strike, Ticonderoga, Air Force, United, Dow Jones, Energy, Exxon Mobil, Occidental Petroleum Locations: U.S, Israel, Normandy, Gaza, United States
Insurance companies are in a tough spot with this year's stronger-than-average hurricane season, while climate-related perils continue to push catastrophe losses higher. Adding fuel to the industry's woes is the higher frequency of secondary perils, such as wildfires and flooding, due to climate change. These increased occurrences have been slowly adding to primary insurers' catastrophe losses and limiting profitability. While the industry is currently in the middle of peak hurricane season, insurance stocks typically rebound when the size of the insured losses become apparent or are announced by the companies, according to Piper Sandler. Insurance stocks tend to fall initially as big hurricanes near landfall and the likely extent of damage is appraised.
Persons: Piper Sandler, Paul Newsome, Newsome, Chubb, Bob Huang, Morgan Stanley, Huang Organizations: Atlantic, . Insurance, Insurance, Allstate, American International Group, Progressive, Universal Insurance Holdings, Everest Re Locations: Florida, Maui, Hawaii, California
These are Wall Street's favorite energy stocks as oil rallies
  + stars: | 2023-09-07 | by ( Pia Singh | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
For investors looking to play this trend, here are some energy stocks with the greatest long-term upside potential. The sector has added 0.5% this week as oil prices rallied from news of extended voluntary oil supply cuts from Saudi Arabia and Russia until year-end. Oil and natural gas company Diamondback Energy is another name on the list. Natural gas producer EQT , oil and gas giant EOG Resources , as well as petroleum refining and marketing company Valero Energy , are also Wall Street favorites. For investors looking for energy stocks but who do not want to bet on individual names, the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE) and the iShares U.S. Energy ETF (IYE) track companies in the sector.
Persons: Russell, Halliburton, Nitin Kumar, EQT, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Energy, CNBC, Oil, Resources, Diamondback Energy, Diamondback, Energy Partners, Warwick Capital Partners, Valero Energy, Mizuho Securities, Valero, Energy Investment, U.S . Energy Locations: Saudi Arabia, Russia, Oil and Texas, EQT, U.S, XLE
BOTZ has been a key beneficiary of the AI advance, garnering $594 million in inflows this year, according to FactSet. While many investors see AI as a tech play, Todd Sohn, ETF and technical strategist at Strategas Securities, believes that the benefit of industrials is an under-the-radar narrative worth taking a second glance at. And because data is what's driving AI, Maier said, larger companies like Amazon , Alphabet and Meta Platforms best retain that type of exposure. "Right now, [data] is what AI is, while we're trying to figure out where AI is going," he said. But for investors looking to diversify beyond the tech wave, Sohn affirmed that industrials are poised to benefit from the rise in AI-induced efficiency and productivity in robotics and automation companies.
Persons: Jon Maier, CNBC's Bob Pisani, Maier, it's, BOTZ, Todd Sohn, Sohn, " Sohn, AIQ, industrials Organizations: Robotics, Intelligence, Nvidia, Strategas Securities, Technology, Global Locations: BOTZ, U.S, outflows
The excitement around new drugs that can help people shed weight quickly has created a banner week for certain health care ETFs. That would be its best stretch since the week ended June 24, 2022, when the fund gained 8.3%, according to FactSet. IHE 5D mountain The iShares fund focused on drugmakers is on track for its best week of the year. Zoetis , the third largest holding in the iShares fund, has rallied more than 6% this week after its second-quarter report. Meanwhile, the VanEck Pharmaceutical ETF (PPH) has gained more than 4% so far this week, which would also be its best week of the year.
Persons: Eli Lilly, Wegovy Organizations: U.S . Pharmaceuticals, Mounjaro, Novo Nordisk, VanEck Pharmaceutical Locations: U.S, Danish
Look at the Treasury yield curve and The Conference Board's Leading Economic Index, says Rosenberg, who called the 2008 recession. He added: "Even if we could argue about a recession or a soft landing, you have Nirvana priced into the stock market as an asset class right now." 7 places for returns as a recession loomsThe first place Rosenberg said he's bullish on is the Treasury market. Treasury bills have durations of one year or less, while Treasury bonds have durations of 20 years or more. The iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ) is one way to invest in Japanese stocks.
Persons: David Rosenberg, Treasurys, Rosenberg, there's, he's, bullish, underperformance, Warren Buffett Organizations: Treasury, Conference, CNN, Rosenberg Research, Treasury Bond ETF, Regional Banking, Vanguard Utilities, Real, Fidelity MSCI Communication Locations: U.S, Japan
A health-care fund with a strong track record could be in a sweet spot for investors who are looking to take some risk off the table, according to Bank of America. "Since 2006, HCES has been a 'goldilocks' trade for investors looking for high-beta healthcare exposure without extreme volatility," the note said. The firm's top-rated ETF in the space is the iShares U.S. Medical Devices ETF (IHI) , which helps investors avoid the volatile biotech stocks found in broader health-care sector funds. IHI 5Y mountain The IHI has averaged a total return of more than 10% over the past five years. In our view, the trade is far less crowded than broad healthcare for investors looking for defensive exposure," Woodard said.
Persons: Jared Woodard, HCES, Woodard, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bank of America . Investment, Medical Devices, Fisher, Abbott Laboratories, Bank of America Locations: U.S
The excitement around artificial intelligence and the surprisingly strong U.S. economy has pushed one major tech ETF to a new all-time high, even as many investors remain skeptical of this year's rally. The Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) closed at $178.24 per share on Monday, setting a new record high. So that strength is being reflected with the sector at a new high," Strategas ETF strategist Todd Sohn said in an email. The Vanguard Information Technology ETF (VGT) , which has nearly $54 billion in assets under management, has also seen outflows this year. The iShares U.S. Technology ETF (IYW) has brought in cash but still trails in overall assets with less than $14 billion.
Persons: Todd Sohn Organizations: Federal Reserve, Big Tech, Tech, Nasdaq, Vanguard Information Technology, Technology Locations: U.S
Recessions haven't always resulted in declining stock markets, and good opportunities can be found amid them. Sectors for recession naysayersThe best sectors for recession disbelievers are the most economically sensitive ones: industrials, materials and financials. Well-positioned companies with good growth prospects currently include: Corteva, Dow Chemical, Ecolab, Linde plc, Martin Marietta Materials, Nucor Corp., PPG Industries and Sherwin-Williams. Currently buyable names include: Campbell Soup Co., General Mills, The Hershey Co., Kellogg's, Kimberly-Clark Corp., Kroger, Procter & Gamble and Walmart. Sector names with reasonable risk levels and good growth prospects include: Vertex Pharmaceuticals, IDEXX Laboratories, DaVita Inc., Veeva Systems Inc., IQVIA Holdings Inc., Cigna Group and Zoetis Inc.
Persons: Sherwin, Williams, Mayur, Martin Marietta, JPMorgan Chase, Rowe Price, Willis Towers Watson, Campbell, General Mills, Clark, Willie B, Thomas, Digitalvision Organizations: Westend61, University of Michigan Consumer, Investors, Westinghouse Air Brake Co, Cummins Inc, CSX, Emerson Electric, Otis Worldwide, Carrier, Caterpillar, Honeywell, Illinois Tool, Lockheed Martin Corp, Dow Chemical, Ecolab, Linde plc, Martin, Martin Marietta Materials, Nucor Corp, PPG Industries, XLF, JPMorgan, Rowe Price Group Inc, American International Group, Allstate, The, McLennan, Sectors, Co, Hershey Co, Clark Corp, Kroger, Procter, Gamble, Walmart, Getty Images Health, iShares U.S, Medical Devices, Vertex Pharmaceuticals, IDEXX Laboratories, DaVita Inc, Veeva Systems Inc, IQVIA Holdings Inc, Cigna, Zoetis Inc Locations: American, The Hartford, Marsh, Kimberly
U.S. stock futures were near flat on Tuesday evening as investors took a breather from last week's market rally. S&P 500 futures inched down by 0.06% and Nasdaq 100 futures lost 0.03%. The S&P 500 slid 0.47%, and the Nasdaq Composite lost 0.16%. Stocks are overbought and in need of a catalyst, according to Quincy Krosby, chief global strategist for LPL Financial. Indeed, last week the S&P 500 hit its highest level since April 2022 and posted its fifth consecutive positive week.
Persons: Quincy Krosby, Jerome Powell, Powell, Krosby, Winnebago Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, FedEx, Dow, LPL, U.S, Home, Financial Locations: New York City . U.S, Quincy
Investors looking to trade the showdown over the U.S. debt ceiling should focus on stocks that are tied most to government spending, according to Citigroup. Lawmakers have been trying to find a way to raise the debt ceiling so the government can pay its bills on time. On Sunday, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen warned that failing to raise the debt ceiling will cause a " steep economic downturn ." As the fight over the debt ceiling — and talk of spending cuts — ramp up, some stocks will trade down, Citi pointed out. He believes the iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense , SPDR S & P Aerospace & Defense , and Invesco Aerospace & Defense ETFs "could be useful off-the-shelf trading tools to consider."
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